Who's betting on “Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 19 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $273K traded all time
- Held now
- $25K by 322 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 84% 181 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 65% 136 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $273K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
84% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
Who holds it
322 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 317 of them. The largest Yes holder is Hauchn, with $3.8K on it, $230K lifetime profit over 224 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is leo-2020, with $3.4K on it, $227 lifetime profit over 61 markets (89% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $2 on No.
- Holders
- 186
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 136
- Money on it
- $12K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 1 · $2
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$14K on it
- 1Hauchn43% won of 224 · noise$3.8K+$230K lifetime
- 2SteveTheFish67% won of 112 · whale$2.6K+$27K lifetime
- 3shovelingdigging65% won of 1,008 · whale$787+$53K lifetime
- 4ief74% won of 38 · balanced$730+$6.6K lifetime
- 50x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,267 · whale$717+$64K lifetime
No$12K on it
- 1leo-202089% won of 61 · balanced$3.4K+$227 lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,151$1.5K−$48K lifetime
- 3donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$1.1K+$829K lifetime
- 40xd8F4dE179b45668cd79E9D04A1B1A01641dEc5BA-176356799249789% won of 19$715+$269 lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$681−$377K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Largest Company end of October 2026?
8 more- NVIDIA$325K vol.Yes 87%No 13%Smart money: No
- Alphabet$192K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Microsoft$63K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- SpaceX$44K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Tesla$25K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Amazon$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Saudi Aramco$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Broadcom$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?"?
322 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 317 of them. The largest Yes holder is Hauchn, with $3.8K on it, $230K lifetime profit over 224 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is leo-2020, with $3.4K on it, $227 lifetime profit over 61 markets (89% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $273K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.