Who's betting on “Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $44K traded all time
- Held now
- $323 by 87 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 69% 76 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 11 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
69% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
Who holds it
87 wallets hold a position worth $323 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is neutralwave23, with $8 on it, $3.0M lifetime loss over 30,885 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is etsdcsdv, with $122 on it, $161 lifetime profit over 64 markets (84% won).
- Holders
- 76
- Money on it
- $46
- Holders' win rate
- 42%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $277
- Holders' win rate
- 89%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$46 on it
- 1neutralwave2371% won of 30,885$8−$3.0M lifetime
- 20xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-177881046449310% won of 33,616 · noise$6+$21K lifetime
- 3e46m347% won of 87,779 · whale$4+$964K lifetime
- 4suntori47% won of 72,055$2−$12M lifetime
- 5donthackme29% won of 87,012 · noise$2+$829K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Largest Company end of October 2026?
8 more- NVIDIA$326K vol.Yes 88%No 12%Smart money: No
- Apple$273K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Alphabet$192K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Microsoft$63K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Tesla$25K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Amazon$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Saudi Aramco$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Broadcom$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?"?
87 wallets hold a position worth $323 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is neutralwave23, with $8 on it, $3.0M lifetime loss over 30,885 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is etsdcsdv, with $122 on it, $161 lifetime profit over 64 markets (84% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.