Who's betting on “Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $63K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.0K by 85 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 96% 70 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 80% 15 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $63K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
96% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
Who holds it
85 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 85 of them. The largest Yes holder is Wojtek, with $16 on it, $55K lifetime profit over 229 markets (15% won). The largest No holder is FUTBALL, with $2.0K on it, $66K lifetime profit over 202 markets (67% won).
- Holders
- 70
- Money on it
- $48
- Holders' win rate
- 35%
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$48 on it
- 1Wojtek15% won of 229 · noise$16+$55K lifetime
- 20x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa567f-176383680226870% won of 248 · whale$7+$4.1K lifetime
- 30xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-177881046449310% won of 33,616 · noise$6+$21K lifetime
- 4e46m347% won of 87,779 · whale$4+$964K lifetime
- 5planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$2+$132K lifetime
No$2.9K on it
- 1FUTBALL67% won of 202 · whale$2.0K+$66K lifetime
- 20x1fd0…c6a780% won of 269$501−$7.9K lifetime
- 3ViolaFrederick55% won of 195 · balanced$113+$6 lifetime
- 437aE9100% won of 7$111+$3 lifetime
- 5robertoo86% won of 146 · balanced$61+$598 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Largest Company end of October 2026?
8 more- NVIDIA$326K vol.Yes 88%No 12%Smart money: No
- Apple$273K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Alphabet$192K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- SpaceX$44K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Tesla$25K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Amazon$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Saudi Aramco$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Broadcom$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?"?
85 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 85 of them. The largest Yes holder is Wojtek, with $16 on it, $55K lifetime profit over 229 markets (15% won). The largest No holder is FUTBALL, with $2.0K on it, $66K lifetime profit over 202 markets (67% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $63K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
96% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.