Who's betting on “Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?”?
Smart money leans No: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $90K traded all time
- Held now
- $24K by 155 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 39% 91 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 76% 59 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 49¢ and No at 52¢, a 52% implied chance of No. $90K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
The smart money
39% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 31 points.
Who holds it
155 wallets hold a position worth $24K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 150 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xBAE7A1b846F2C2e18047fCB760Be0B792a821a5a-1768330554557, with $2.3K on it, $25 lifetime profit over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is ArmageddonRewardsBilly, with $1.1K on it, $313K lifetime profit over 4,063 markets (45% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $49 on Yes.
- Holders
- 95
- Money on it
- $19K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 1 · $49
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $4.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$19K on it
- 10xBAE7A1b846F2C2e18047fCB760Be0B792a821a5a-1768330554557100% won of 2$2.3K+$25 lifetime
- 20xD0aDe10Dbfd80CfD48c0E876b640796ae67bb23E-177129475957542% won of 206$2.1K−$3.0K lifetime
- 3superyyman85% won of 2,113$1.5K−$5.3K lifetime
- 4SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$1.5K+$203K lifetime
- 5neutralwave2371% won of 30,851$1.4K−$3.0M lifetime
No$4.9K on it
- 1ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$1.1K+$313K lifetime
- 2flexibleagedbeef91% won of 11$923+$2.3K lifetime
- 3Tingo202661% won of 206$581−$730 lifetime
- 4Gohst47% won of 1,056 · whale$554+$298K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$276+$27K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in New Taipei Mayor Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?"?
155 wallets hold a position worth $24K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 150 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xBAE7A1b846F2C2e18047fCB760Be0B792a821a5a-1768330554557, with $2.3K on it, $25 lifetime profit over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is ArmageddonRewardsBilly, with $1.1K on it, $313K lifetime profit over 4,063 markets (45% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 49¢ and No at 52¢, a 52% implied chance of No. $90K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
39% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 31 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.