Who's betting on “Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $84K traded all time
- Held now
- $28K by 155 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 21% 93 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 26% 59 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 52¢ and No at 48¢, a 52% implied chance of Yes. $84K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
The smart money
21% of the money on Yes and 26% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.
Who holds it
155 wallets hold a position worth $28K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 152 of them. The largest Yes holder is dddmmm963, with $4.0K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is 0xD0aDe10Dbfd80CfD48c0E876b640796ae67bb23E-1771294759575, with $2.3K on it, $3.0K lifetime loss over 206 markets (42% won).
- Holders
- 96
- Money on it
- $22K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 59
- Money on it
- $6.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$22K on it
- 1dddmmm963no record yet$4.0K+$0 lifetime
- 2neutralwave2371% won of 30,851$1.9K−$3.0M lifetime
- 30x518a…90f5no record yet$1.5K
- 4misoramenno record yet$1.1K+$0 lifetime
- 5december82% won of 184 · whale$1.0K+$40K lifetime
No$6.3K on it
- 10xD0aDe10Dbfd80CfD48c0E876b640796ae67bb23E-177129475957542% won of 206$2.3K−$3.0K lifetime
- 2yypower97% won of 200$1.8K−$2.7K lifetime
- 3donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$354+$829K lifetime
- 4bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$219+$5.1K lifetime
- 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$200+$127K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in New Taipei Mayor Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?"?
155 wallets hold a position worth $28K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 152 of them. The largest Yes holder is dddmmm963, with $4.0K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is 0xD0aDe10Dbfd80CfD48c0E876b640796ae67bb23E-1771294759575, with $2.3K on it, $3.0K lifetime loss over 206 markets (42% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 52¢ and No at 48¢, a 52% implied chance of Yes. $84K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
21% of the money on Yes and 26% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.