Who's betting on “Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 74 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $25K traded all time
- Held now
- $309 by 32 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 26% 25 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 7 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
26% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 74 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 74 points. A week ago, No by 64 points.
Who holds it
32 wallets hold a position worth $309 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 32 of them. The largest Yes holder is wing1234, with $23 on it, $2.7K lifetime loss over 218 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is VorpalQuark, with $104 on it, $24K lifetime profit over 211 markets (82% won).
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $51
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 7
- Money on it
- $258
- Holders' win rate
- 91%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$51 on it
- 1wing123464% won of 218$23−$2.7K lifetime
- 2valmier50% won of 214$6−$933 lifetime
- 3cwc90948% won of 287$6−$1.4K lifetime
- 4rocky4202452% won of 900 · whale$3+$24K lifetime
- 5b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.98% won of 3,389 · whale$3+$22K lifetime
No$258 on it
- 1VorpalQuark82% won of 211 · whale$104+$24K lifetime
- 2rockston97% won of 36$53+$18 lifetime
- 3miamib...ch96% won of 27$51+$9 lifetime
- 4potapbroski94% won of 18$49+$10 lifetime
- 5Tee100054% won of 455 · whale$0+$16K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Senate Majority Leader?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?"?
32 wallets hold a position worth $309 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 32 of them. The largest Yes holder is wing1234, with $23 on it, $2.7K lifetime loss over 218 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is VorpalQuark, with $104 on it, $24K lifetime profit over 211 markets (82% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
26% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 74 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 74 points. A week ago, No by 64 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.