Who's betting on “Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 60% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $35K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.2K by 79 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 60% 58 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 45% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
60% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 35 points.
Who holds it
79 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is Rr55, with $273 on it, $39K lifetime profit over 1,223 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is gateway-, with $534 on it, $103 lifetime loss over 236 markets (38% won).
Sharp money
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $45 on Yes.
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 2 · $45
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.1K on it
- 1Rr5572% won of 1,223 · whale$273+$39K lifetime
- 2purplegatto73% won of 3,515$162−$1.9M lifetime
- 3valmier50% won of 214$97−$933 lifetime
- 4AnEggplant46% won of 317$96−$5.7K lifetime
- 50xad99BFFCe03Cc56AC1b697aC15a173700E54dBaB-177074487734762% won of 337 · whale$79+$12K lifetime
No$1.1K on it
- 1gateway-38% won of 236$534−$103 lifetime
- 2cookiejar80% won of 203 · whale$214+$206 lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,970 · noise$78+$28K lifetime
- 4HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$65+$325K lifetime
- 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$46+$335K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Senate Majority Leader?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?"?
79 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is Rr55, with $273 on it, $39K lifetime profit over 1,223 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is gateway-, with $534 on it, $103 lifetime loss over 236 markets (38% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
60% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 35 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.