Who's betting on “Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?”?
Smart money leans No: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 5 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.4K by 43 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 92% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 7, 2026.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago, No by 7 points.
Who holds it
43 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $114 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $1.2K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $13 on Yes.
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $204
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Snipers
- 1 · $13
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $3.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$204 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$114+$255K lifetime
- 2LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$29+$28K lifetime
- 3TheOne77793% won of 381 · sniper$13+$16K lifetime
- 4Korne56% won of 200$12−$21K lifetime
- 5HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$8+$325K lifetime
No$3.2K on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$1.2K+$203K lifetime
- 2rabbit00745% won of 299 · noise$1.1K+$44K lifetime
- 3aff379% won of 277 · whale$156+$264K lifetime
- 4hochnaesigezicke65% won of 414 · balanced$145+$10.0K lifetime
- 5vyemfql63% won of 239 · balanced$89+$8.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?"?
43 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $114 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $1.2K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 7, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago, No by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 7, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.