Who's betting on “Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.0K by 32 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 89% 18 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 14 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 7, 2026.
The smart money
89% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
32 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 32 of them. The largest Yes holder is YoungAlphaGoat, with $50 on it, $89K lifetime profit over 498 markets (54% won). The largest No holder is rabbit007, with $988 on it, $44K lifetime profit over 299 markets (45% won).
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $166
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$166 on it
- 1YoungAlphaGoat54% won of 498 · whale$50+$89K lifetime
- 2DerDon56% won of 1,234 · whale$30+$95K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$15+$28K lifetime
- 4vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$12+$170K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$11+$255K lifetime
No$2.9K on it
- 1rabbit00745% won of 299 · noise$988+$44K lifetime
- 2StraddleSeller69% won of 550 · whale$752+$55K lifetime
- 3Railcool74% won of 145 · whale$473+$125K lifetime
- 4sweetj64% won of 487 · whale$383+$11K lifetime
- 5macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$130−$8.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
2 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?"?
32 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 32 of them. The largest Yes holder is YoungAlphaGoat, with $50 on it, $89K lifetime profit over 498 markets (54% won). The largest No holder is rabbit007, with $988 on it, $44K lifetime profit over 299 markets (45% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 7, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
89% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 7, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.