Who's betting on “Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $438 by 48 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 51% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 53% 11 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
51% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split.
Who holds it
48 wallets hold a position worth $438 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is sdfdsfffdgwe, with $9 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is dcuidi55, with $147 on it, $9 lifetime loss over 23 markets (48% won).
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $36
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $402
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$36 on it
- 1sdfdsfffdgweno record yet$9+$0 lifetime
- 2e46m347% won of 87,779 · whale$3+$964K lifetime
- 3blastimas65% won of 1,596$3−$4.5K lifetime
- 4X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$3+$38K lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,296$2−$52K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
4 more- Alphabet$32K vol.Yes 30%No 70%Smart money: No
- Microsoft$27K vol.Yes 61%No 39%Smart money split
- Apple$19K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- NVIDIA$14K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?"?
48 wallets hold a position worth $438 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is sdfdsfffdgwe, with $9 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is dcuidi55, with $147 on it, $9 lifetime loss over 23 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
51% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.