Who's betting on “Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.1K by 42 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 32 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 72% 10 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.
Who holds it
42 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $117 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is e46m3, with $2.0K on it, $964K lifetime profit over 87,779 markets (47% won).
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $213
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$213 on it
- 1X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$117+$38K lifetime
- 238741100741561181409221789738777% won of 1,806 · whale$16+$102K lifetime
- 3BornAgain2680% won of 226$13−$5.1K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$9+$255K lifetime
- 50x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,286 · whale$9+$64K lifetime
No$2.9K on it
- 1e46m347% won of 87,779 · whale$2.0K+$964K lifetime
- 2dlbbbdbdbdblw76% won of 41$807−$594 lifetime
- 3cxl379% won of 229 · balanced$39+$228 lifetime
- 4D4Fff100% won of 4$38+$3 lifetime
- 5jennylulu201617% won of 208 · noise$29+$497 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
4 more- Alphabet$32K vol.Yes 30%No 70%Smart money: No
- Microsoft$27K vol.Yes 61%No 39%Smart money split
- Apple$19K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- SpaceX$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?"?
42 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $117 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is e46m3, with $2.0K on it, $964K lifetime profit over 87,779 markets (47% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.