Who's betting on “Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $837 by 57 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 84% 40 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 78% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
The smart money
84% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points.
Who holds it
57 wallets hold a position worth $837 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is fiter, with $3 on it, $50K lifetime profit over 842 markets (17% won). The largest No holder is black4562, with $369 on it, $452 lifetime profit over 713 markets (74% won).
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $12
- Holders' win rate
- 35%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $826
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$12 on it
- 1fiter17% won of 842 · noise$3+$50K lifetime
- 2akooll100% won of 1$2+$38K lifetime
- 3bizirizino record yet$1+$0 lifetime
- 4winer1157no record yet$1+$9.9K lifetime
- 5E10ESpoascknasjdhajdDas12t22% won of 628 · noise$1+$749 lifetime
No$826 on it
- 1black456274% won of 713 · balanced$369+$452 lifetime
- 2wubddh91% won of 1,034 · whale$210+$2.6K lifetime
- 30x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-176896432983685% won of 287 · balanced$53+$2.8K lifetime
- 4oliverjp3176% won of 301$51−$272 lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,296$48−$52K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Serbia Election: United Serbia Vote Share?
5 more- 35-40%$18K vol.Yes 99%No 1%Smart money: Yes
- 45-50%$16K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 40-45%$15K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 50-55%$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 55%+$12K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?"?
57 wallets hold a position worth $837 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is fiter, with $3 on it, $50K lifetime profit over 842 markets (17% won). The largest No holder is black4562, with $369 on it, $452 lifetime profit over 713 markets (74% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.