
Who's betting on “Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 80 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $254 by 57 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 90% 46 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 9% 9 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
The smart money
90% of the money on Yes and 9% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 80 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 74 points.
Who holds it
57 wallets hold a position worth $254 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x0780E3896EC9Ae457b5356ffaf11a5d46BAeb0E9-1771526839491, with $12 on it, $9.0K lifetime profit over 39 markets (90% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $70 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,080 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $43
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $210
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$43 on it
- 10x0780E3896EC9Ae457b5356ffaf11a5d46BAeb0E9-177152683949190% won of 39 · balanced$12+$9.0K lifetime
- 20x8251D7c1CA289BC0D993B4F6eAe36785472E879D-177774837355120% won of 202 · noise$9+$153 lifetime
- 3Tican211100% won of 3$5+$267 lifetime
- 4qWOprt753% won of 206 · balanced$3+$18K lifetime
- 5fiter17% won of 842 · noise$3+$50K lifetime
No$210 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,080$70−$49K lifetime
- 2pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$61−$320K lifetime
- 3hfv42% won of 44,548$35−$143K lifetime
- 4Fihdrzgdd40% won of 3,576$12−$20K lifetime
- 5asdfasdf1145% won of 4,422 · balanced$10+$1.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Serbia Election: United Serbia Vote Share?
5 more- 35-40%$18K vol.Yes 99%No 1%Smart money: Yes
- 45-50%$16K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- <35%$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 50-55%$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 55%+$12K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?"?
57 wallets hold a position worth $254 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x0780E3896EC9Ae457b5356ffaf11a5d46BAeb0E9-1771526839491, with $12 on it, $9.0K lifetime profit over 39 markets (90% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $70 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,080 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 9% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 80 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 74 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.