Who's betting on “Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?”?
Sports · $25K volume · Ends November 12, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 12, 2026.
56% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
69 wallets hold a position worth $1.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 69 of them. The largest Yes holder is newphonewhatdis, with $7 on it, $149 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is SweetChariot, with $872 on it, $24K lifetime profit over 216 markets (88% won).
- Smart money share
- 56%
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $35
- Holders' winrate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 99%
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' winrate
- 88%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| newphonewhatdis | $7 | -$149 | - |
| 0x37DDC092f2e5dA141caD78AE566e29028716bf14-1761726523512balanced | $6 | +$698 | 63% of 24 |
| alohajpnoise | $5 | +$429 | 44% of 39 |
| cpu001balanced | $3 | +$762 | 64% of 200 |
| 0x5375…aeea | $2 | -$4.0M | 28% of 1,026 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| SweetChariotwhale | $872 | +$24K | 88% of 216 |
| Elias.Thornwellwhale | $46 | +$4.5K | 69% of 2,943 |
| alphapvp | $43 | +$13 | 100% of 24 |
| kurkumaq | $30 | +$6 | 90% of 20 |
| aph0 | $6 | -$14 | 96% of 84 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner
- Nolan McLean$587K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Freddy Peralta$113K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Brandon Woodruff$108K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Eury Perez$96K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Cristopher Sanchez$58K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: No
- Jacob Misiorowski$36K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- Paul Skenes$31K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Chris Sale$15K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto$14K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$35M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.3M vol.Yes 70%No 30%Smart money split
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$6.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.4M vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.9M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.9M vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money split
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?"?
69 wallets hold a position worth $1.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 69 of them. The largest Yes holder is newphonewhatdis, with $7 on it, $149 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is SweetChariot, with $872 on it, $24K lifetime profit over 216 markets (88% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 12, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
56% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 12, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.