Who's betting on “Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?”?
Sports · $31K volume · Ends November 12, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 12, 2026.
77% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
59 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is ChuDebbieSharp, with $3 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 787 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is mwenya, with $1.2K on it, $116K lifetime profit over 1,058 markets (51% won).
- Smart money share
- 77%
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $8
- Holders' winrate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 93%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' winrate
- 53%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| ChuDebbieSharpwhale | $3 | +$28K | 85% of 787 |
| 50centsnoise | $1 | +$5.6K | 34% of 378 |
| DelM94 | $1 | -$4.6K | 43% of 205 |
| 0xaf8d…9495 | $0 | -$139 | 75% of 4 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.whale | $0 | +$22K | 98% of 3,063 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| mwenyawhale | $1.2K | +$116K | 51% of 1,058 |
| test.saveliyb.testnoise | $48 | +$3.8K | 42% of 208 |
| webb50008 | $41 | -$963 | 91% of 348 |
| noise126trader | $25 | -$517 | 63% of 207 |
| l492 | $20 | -$882 | 80% of 212 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?"?
59 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is ChuDebbieSharp, with $3 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 787 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is mwenya, with $1.2K on it, $116K lifetime profit over 1,058 markets (51% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 12, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 12, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.