Who's betting on “Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 74% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 5 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.1K by 70 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 69% 22 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 74% 48 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
69% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
70 wallets hold a position worth $6.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is PeterEriksson, with $131 on it, $7.0K lifetime profit over 220 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is NiceDuckBro, with $1.7K on it, $11K lifetime profit over 240 markets (70% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $335 on No.
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $398
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $5.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
- Snipers
- 1 · $335
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$398 on it
- 1PeterEriksson55% won of 220 · balanced$131+$7.0K lifetime
- 2PacalHarcos30% won of 79$59−$1.8K lifetime
- 3Rybkaoi64% won of 231 · balanced$49+$12K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$29+$255K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$16−$377K lifetime
No$5.7K on it
- 1NiceDuckBro70% won of 240 · whale$1.7K+$11K lifetime
- 2Voland677787% won of 15$723−$10K lifetime
- 3AskGloria58% won of 219 · balanced$561+$703 lifetime
- 4GaioMario73% won of 223 · balanced$527+$11K lifetime
- 5dsoperative87% won of 239 · whale$374+$11K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
2 more- December 31$56K vol.Yes 75%No 26%Smart money: Yes
- September 30$121K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?"?
70 wallets hold a position worth $6.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is PeterEriksson, with $131 on it, $7.0K lifetime profit over 220 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is NiceDuckBro, with $1.7K on it, $11K lifetime profit over 240 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.