Who's betting on “Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 80% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 47 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $56K traded all time
- Held now
- $10K by 98 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 51 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 33% 46 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 75¢ and No at 26¢, a 75% implied chance of Yes. $56K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 46 points. A week ago, Yes by 69 points.
Who holds it
98 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 97 of them. The largest Yes holder is TralaleloTralalala, with $1.9K on it, $42K lifetime profit over 814 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $730 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $7.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$7.8K on it
- 1TralaleloTralalala62% won of 814 · balanced$1.9K+$42K lifetime
- 2FoolingAround64% won of 100 · balanced$909+$6.8K lifetime
- 3PeterEriksson55% won of 220 · balanced$830+$7.0K lifetime
- 4mehanizator42% won of 530 · noise$703+$6.1K lifetime
- 5AChad58% won of 50 · balanced$575+$3.2K lifetime
No$2.7K on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$730−$4.7M lifetime
- 2CompulsiveGambler69% won of 1,049 · whale$262+$74K lifetime
- 3B1zz77% won of 13$187−$1.2K lifetime
- 4Voland677787% won of 15$186−$10K lifetime
- 5Poivre26% won of 357 · noise$180+$2.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
2 more- October 31$17K vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- September 30$121K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?"?
98 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 97 of them. The largest Yes holder is TralaleloTralalala, with $1.9K on it, $42K lifetime profit over 814 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $730 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 75¢ and No at 26¢, a 75% implied chance of Yes. $56K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 46 points. A week ago, Yes by 69 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.