Who's betting on “Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.5K by 106 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 79% 54 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 58% 49 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 49¢ and No at 52¢, a 52% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
The smart money
79% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points.
Who holds it
106 wallets hold a position worth $4.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 103 of them. The largest Yes holder is jpceia, with $937 on it, $6.9K lifetime profit over 54 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is CHIKI33, with $288 on it, $6.0K lifetime profit over 148 markets (60% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $16 on Yes.
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $3.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 1 · $16
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.1K on it
- 1jpceia70% won of 54 · balanced$937+$6.9K lifetime
- 2HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$373+$179K lifetime
- 3thanksforplayin58% won of 2,163 · whale$305+$262K lifetime
- 4zakhiyasatou0% won of 1$210−$110 lifetime
- 50xcb9b…31a654% won of 13$176+$2.5K lifetime
No$1.4K on it
- 1CHIKI3360% won of 148 · balanced$288+$6.0K lifetime
- 2rocky4200655% won of 1,338$286−$9.9K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,163 · noise$167+$252K lifetime
- 4lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$147+$1.2M lifetime
- 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,227$73−$216K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
106 wallets hold a position worth $4.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 103 of them. The largest Yes holder is jpceia, with $937 on it, $6.9K lifetime profit over 54 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is CHIKI33, with $288 on it, $6.0K lifetime profit over 148 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 49¢ and No at 52¢, a 52% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
79% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.