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Who's betting on “Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 4.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?”?

Politics$11K traded67 holdersEnds November 30, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
0%Yes
100%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 54 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$11K
traded all time
Held now
$2.4K
by 67 wallets
Smart share · Yes
30%
47 scored holders
Smart share · No
84%
19 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.

The smart money

30% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 54 points.

Who holds it

67 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is Hasaselhaya, with $9 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is HolyMoses7, with $664 on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share30%
Holders
47
Money on it
$18
Holders' win rate
45%
No100%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share84%
Holders
20
Money on it
$2.4K
Holders' win rate
54%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$18 on it

  1. 1Hasaselhayano record yet$9+$0 lifetime
  2. 2Hamefanek25% won of 4$1−$966 lifetime
  3. 350cents35% won of 414 · noise$1+$5.8K lifetime
  4. 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,167 · noise$1+$254K lifetime
  5. 50xeB68675C06E0bB9F08ba510550912d77289Ce362-17788118920368% won of 32,617 · noise$1+$31K lifetime

No$2.4K on it

  1. 1HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$664+$179K lifetime
  2. 2JoshuaTree62% won of 149 · balanced$434+$2.2K lifetime
  3. 3Adam251% won of 138 · balanced$323+$1.3K lifetime
  4. 4OnlyInGodWeTrust44% won of 220 · noise$288+$461 lifetime
  5. 5vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$286+$170K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 4.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?

67 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is Hasaselhaya, with $9 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is HolyMoses7, with $664 on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 4.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

30% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 54 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.