Who's betting on “Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $33K traded all time
- Held now
- $12K by 125 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 64 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 77% 54 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $33K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points.
Who holds it
125 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them. The largest Yes holder is Contestable-Parfait, with $483 on it, $173K lifetime profit over 345 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is BiDiFakePolls, with $2.1K on it, $126K lifetime profit over 346 markets (74% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $2.1K on No.
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $895
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 56
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 1 · $2.1K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$895 on it
- 1Contestable-Parfait61% won of 345 · whale$483+$173K lifetime
- 2Dunedain73% won of 228 · whale$45+$8.4K lifetime
- 30xabd7…0520no record yet$41
- 4AIisme48% won of 249 · whale$38+$7.2K lifetime
- 5EvBibi75% won of 4$27+$8.1K lifetime
No$11K on it
- 1BiDiFakePolls74% won of 346 · sniper$2.1K+$126K lifetime
- 2AgricultureSecretary76% won of 1,275 · whale$1.3K+$589K lifetime
- 3jpceia70% won of 54 · balanced$1.0K+$6.9K lifetime
- 4macrosteaks64% won of 2,606$704−$8.2K lifetime
- 5scrapbook39% won of 220$597−$24K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
2 more- Amcha Yisrael$21K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- RZP-Zehut$10K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
125 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them. The largest Yes holder is Contestable-Parfait, with $483 on it, $173K lifetime profit over 345 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is BiDiFakePolls, with $2.1K on it, $126K lifetime profit over 346 markets (74% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $33K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.