Who's betting on “Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?”?
Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 38 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.5K by 74 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 48 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 25 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 38 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points.
Who holds it
74 wallets hold a position worth $6.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is 2B9S, with $3 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 14,444 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is HolyMoses7, with $4.4K on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $192 on No.
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $16
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $6.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 1 · $192
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$16 on it
- 12B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$3+$97K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 48,939$3−$50K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$2+$127K lifetime
- 40x96c8…1a5bno record yet$1
- 5uriv100% won of 1$1+$0 lifetime
No$6.5K on it
- 1HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$4.4K+$179K lifetime
- 2GeoAlpha182% won of 202 · balanced$572+$25 lifetime
- 3SniCkeR888100% won of 2$279+$358 lifetime
- 4dsoperative88% won of 237 · whale$254+$10.0K lifetime
- 5TheOne77793% won of 381 · sniper$192+$16K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
2 more- Reservists and New Economic Party$33K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- RZP-Zehut$10K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
74 wallets hold a position worth $6.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is 2B9S, with $3 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 14,444 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is HolyMoses7, with $4.4K on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 38 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.