Who's betting on “Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?”?
Smart money leans No: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 61 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.8K by 46 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 22% 19 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 83% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
22% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 61 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points.
Who holds it
46 wallets hold a position worth $3.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $269 on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,107 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is clazzy1, with $1.2K on it, $27K lifetime profit over 622 markets (69% won).
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.0K on it
- 1Gaditima49% won of 12,107$269−$433K lifetime
- 2Dcciagb0% won of 1$229−$1 lifetime
- 30x549f…7985no record yet$190+$0 lifetime
- 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$123+$127K lifetime
- 5Souls57% won of 14$79−$27 lifetime
No$2.8K on it
- 1clazzy169% won of 622 · whale$1.2K+$27K lifetime
- 2vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$350+$170K lifetime
- 3resilience2656% won of 3,262$284−$13K lifetime
- 40xf27dc56% won of 279 · balanced$260+$14K lifetime
- 5conherence75% won of 415 · balanced$208+$3.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Senate Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?"?
46 wallets hold a position worth $3.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $269 on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,107 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is clazzy1, with $1.2K on it, $27K lifetime profit over 622 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
22% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 61 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.