Who's betting on “Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $25K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.0K by 99 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 41 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 80% 57 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 48¢ and No at 52¢, a 52% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 17 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
Who holds it
99 wallets hold a position worth $9.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 98 of them. The largest Yes holder is SlavaUkraini, with $2.6K on it, $727K lifetime profit over 290 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is paddaa, with $1.8K on it, $288K lifetime profit over 1,507 markets (58% won).
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $4.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $4.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.9K on it
- 1SlavaUkraini75% won of 290 · whale$2.6K+$727K lifetime
- 2Eatpraylove62% won of 1,052 · whale$490+$519K lifetime
- 3g12870% won of 178 · balanced$348+$205 lifetime
- 4sbrivaemhomyachkov0% won of 2$305−$107 lifetime
- 50xa169…1b7350% won of 1,505 · balanced$278+$6.6K lifetime
No$4.1K on it
- 1paddaa58% won of 1,507 · whale$1.8K+$288K lifetime
- 2--8no record yet$520+$0 lifetime
- 30x2282A5Df43293824923349734892938420220958% won of 112 · balanced$520+$3.7K lifetime
- 4CT-test52% won of 213 · balanced$184+$23 lifetime
- 50x7CbDd6ffF55e78B77511F44691317dE45a051288-176518971853061% won of 213 · balanced$158+$2.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Senate Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?"?
99 wallets hold a position worth $9.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 98 of them. The largest Yes holder is SlavaUkraini, with $2.6K on it, $727K lifetime profit over 290 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is paddaa, with $1.8K on it, $288K lifetime profit over 1,507 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 48¢ and No at 52¢, a 52% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 17 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.