Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?”?

Politics$12K traded63 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
37%Yes🧠 smart money
63%No

Smart money leans Yes: 53% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$12K
traded all time
Held now
$2.3K
by 63 wallets
Smart share · Yes
53%
38 scored holders
Smart share · No
43%
24 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 37¢ and No at 63¢, a 63% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

53% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points.

Who holds it

63 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $282 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is rightcryptor, with $159 on it, $0 lifetime loss over 1 markets (0% won).

Yes37%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share53%
Holders
38
Money on it
$1.6K
Holders' win rate
50%
No63%
Smart money share43%
Holders
25
Money on it
$687
Holders' win rate
50%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.6K on it

  1. 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$282+$127K lifetime
  2. 2Gaditima49% won of 12,107$232−$432K lifetime
  3. 3HardradaHno record yet$163+$0 lifetime
  4. 40x6B11FB81561815995a6D8Ed3B90dD95D3F4838e8-177202156985536% won of 244$135−$2.1K lifetime
  5. 50xF80E74bC34e0C1BE6D4352D6eDEBB710E6602af8-172011916701364% won of 128 · balanced$113+$4.6K lifetime

No$687 on it

  1. 1rightcryptor0% won of 1$159−$0 lifetime
  2. 20xa169…1b7350% won of 1,505 · balanced$125+$6.6K lifetime
  3. 3Cornishon42% won of 278$74−$804 lifetime
  4. 4tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$69−$217K lifetime
  5. 5AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,844 · whale$40+$422K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?"?

63 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $282 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is rightcryptor, with $159 on it, $0 lifetime loss over 1 markets (0% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 37¢ and No at 63¢, a 63% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

53% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.