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Who's betting on “Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?”?

Politics$13K traded51 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
32%Yes
69%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 63% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$13K
traded all time
Held now
$2.1K
by 51 wallets
Smart share · Yes
46%
29 scored holders
Smart share · No
63%
21 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 32¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

46% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 48 points.

Who holds it

51 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $326 on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,105 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is rightcryptor, with $173 on it, $0 lifetime loss over 1 markets (0% won).

Yes32%
Smart money share46% ▼ 5 pts in 24 h
a day ago 51%now 46%
Holders
29
Money on it
$1.3K
Holders' win rate
54%
No69%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share63% ▼ 36 pts in 24 h
a day ago 99%now 63%
Holders
22
Money on it
$743
Holders' win rate
51%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.3K on it

  1. 1Gaditima49% won of 12,105$326−$433K lifetime
  2. 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$212+$127K lifetime
  3. 3andrisCh100% won of 1$140+$1 lifetime
  4. 4Otherperry53% won of 36$90−$721 lifetime
  5. 54202149% won of 1,046 · whale$84+$19K lifetime

No$743 on it

  1. 1rightcryptor0% won of 1$173−$0 lifetime
  2. 20xa169…1b7350% won of 1,505 · balanced$140+$6.6K lifetime
  3. 3Cornishon42% won of 278$80−$804 lifetime
  4. 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,235 · noise$68+$255K lifetime
  5. 50x80e9F3b8e34027A7f4C7517d7E3d56A5A5B438A8-172842327477358% won of 114 · balanced$59+$73 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?"?

51 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $326 on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,105 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is rightcryptor, with $173 on it, $0 lifetime loss over 1 markets (0% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 32¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

46% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 48 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.