Who's betting on “Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.5K by 79 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 43 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
79 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is gopfan2, with $444 on it, $1.7M lifetime profit over 1,014 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is planktonXD, with $40 on it, $138K lifetime profit over 6,763 markets (76% won).
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $146
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.4K on it
- 1gopfan279% won of 1,014 · whale$444+$1.7M lifetime
- 2nicoco8965% won of 1,032 · whale$433+$121K lifetime
- 3iraa380% won of 300 · whale$354+$7.2K lifetime
- 4eratoxtenex53% won of 407 · balanced$283+$1.6K lifetime
- 5randomWalkingShrimp89% won of 231 · whale$245+$39K lifetime
No$146 on it
- 1planktonXD76% won of 6,763 · whale$40+$138K lifetime
- 2LornaPredicts28% won of 17,563 · noise$19+$28K lifetime
- 3kstc1997% won of 67$17−$641 lifetime
- 4kstc17a97% won of 111$17−$250 lifetime
- 5Ddiggerno record yet$11−$10 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?"?
79 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is gopfan2, with $444 on it, $1.7M lifetime profit over 1,014 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is planktonXD, with $40 on it, $138K lifetime profit over 6,763 markets (76% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.