Who's betting on “Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 53% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $144K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 142 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 53% 84 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 44% 55 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $144K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
The smart money
53% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
142 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 139 of them. The largest Yes holder is slobber, with $887 on it, $5.0K lifetime loss over 73 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is ZaiZoiBele, with $1.3K on it, $329K lifetime profit over 1,944 markets (80% won).
- Holders
- 87
- Money on it
- $5.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $10.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.4K on it
- 1slobber64% won of 73$887−$5.0K lifetime
- 20x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-175947098161649% won of 713 · whale$836+$119K lifetime
- 3hairymuhad60% won of 5$652+$270 lifetime
- 4JohnP9242% won of 423 · noise$360+$17K lifetime
- 50xeef7…a8aeno record yet$339
No$10.0K on it
- 1ZaiZoiBele80% won of 1,944 · whale$1.3K+$329K lifetime
- 2bonalddrunk60% won of 378$1.0K−$13K lifetime
- 3OneLastHurrah30% won of 1,162$1.0K−$18K lifetime
- 4ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$845+$313K lifetime
- 5macrosteaks64% won of 2,609$828−$7.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?"?
142 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 139 of them. The largest Yes holder is slobber, with $887 on it, $5.0K lifetime loss over 73 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is ZaiZoiBele, with $1.3K on it, $329K lifetime profit over 1,944 markets (80% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $144K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
53% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.