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Who's betting on “Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?”?

Politics$94K traded193 holdersEnds November 30, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
83%Yes🧠 smart money
18%No

Smart money leans Yes: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$94K
traded all time
Held now
$28K
by 193 wallets
Smart share · Yes
70%
124 scored holders
Smart share · No
63%
65 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 83¢ and No at 18¢, an 83% implied chance of Yes. $94K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.

The smart money

70% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 9 points.

Who holds it

193 wallets hold a position worth $28K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 189 of them. The largest Yes holder is ZaiZoiBele, with $5.0K on it, $329K lifetime profit over 1,944 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is JohnP92, with $318 on it, $17K lifetime profit over 423 markets (42% won).

Sharp money

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $66 on Yes.

Yes83%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share70%
7 days ago 64%a day ago 70%now 70%
Holders
128
Money on it
$27K
Holders' win rate
65%
Snipers
1 · $66
No18%
Smart money share63% ▼ 6 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 73%a day ago 68%now 63%
Holders
65
Money on it
$1.6K
Holders' win rate
57%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$27K on it

  1. 1ZaiZoiBele80% won of 1,944 · whale$5.0K+$329K lifetime
  2. 20x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-175947098161649% won of 713 · whale$4.4K+$119K lifetime
  3. 3pkz63% won of 1,047 · whale$2.3K+$67K lifetime
  4. 4Socialista90% won of 871$1.1K−$18K lifetime
  5. 5MaximRAWilson76% won of 41 · balanced$1.1K+$2.3K lifetime

No$1.6K on it

  1. 1JohnP9242% won of 423 · noise$318+$17K lifetime
  2. 20xbE61d6ff3cD8a938021CAE7E3E9Dfcdcdc18D9df-17675233301710% won of 1$266−$172 lifetime
  3. 3rocky4201952% won of 843 · whale$192+$19K lifetime
  4. 4vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$175+$170K lifetime
  5. 5lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$88+$1.2M lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?"?

193 wallets hold a position worth $28K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 189 of them. The largest Yes holder is ZaiZoiBele, with $5.0K on it, $329K lifetime profit over 1,944 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is JohnP92, with $318 on it, $17K lifetime profit over 423 markets (42% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 83¢ and No at 18¢, an 83% implied chance of Yes. $94K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

70% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 9 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.