Who's betting on “Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?”?
Smart money leans No: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $75K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.8K by 93 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 58% 49 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 44 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $75K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 31, 2027.
The smart money
58% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 20 points.
Who holds it
93 wallets hold a position worth $6.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 93 of them. The largest Yes holder is abcdefgh123456, with $43 on it, $899 lifetime profit over 209 markets (97% won). The largest No holder is StraddleSeller, with $3.2K on it, $55K lifetime profit over 550 markets (69% won).
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $283
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $6.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$283 on it
- 1abcdefgh12345697% won of 209 · grinder$43+$899 lifetime
- 2youtube-trader25% won of 8,026$42−$6.5K lifetime
- 3alpha.chen73% won of 256$35−$12K lifetime
- 4anoin12359% won of 1,608$30−$4.7M lifetime
- 5planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$19+$132K lifetime
No$6.6K on it
- 1StraddleSeller69% won of 550 · whale$3.2K+$55K lifetime
- 210145662% won of 297 · balanced$1.3K+$22K lifetime
- 30x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$1.0K−$8.4K lifetime
- 4JAMJAMJAM497% won of 836 · whale$468+$97K lifetime
- 5Slowbathroom95% won of 242 · balanced$180+$1.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?"?
93 wallets hold a position worth $6.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 93 of them. The largest Yes holder is abcdefgh123456, with $43 on it, $899 lifetime profit over 209 markets (97% won). The largest No holder is StraddleSeller, with $3.2K on it, $55K lifetime profit over 550 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $75K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 31, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
58% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 31, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.