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Who's betting on “Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?”?

Politics$61K traded120 holdersEnds March 31, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
5%Yes
95%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 64 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$61K
traded all time
Held now
$11K
by 120 wallets
Smart share · Yes
31%
52 scored holders
Smart share · No
95%
68 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $61K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 31, 2027.

The smart money

31% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 64 points. A week ago, No by 66 points.

Who holds it

120 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 120 of them. The largest Yes holder is omnibus-424779, with $202 on it, $537K lifetime loss over 1,063 markets (39% won). The largest No holder is onforme, with $5.8K on it, $19K lifetime profit over 1,075 markets (63% won).

Yes5%
Smart money share31%
7 days ago 30%a day ago 31%now 31%
Holders
52
Money on it
$572
Holders' win rate
52%
No95%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share95%
7 days ago 95%a day ago 95%now 95%
Holders
68
Money on it
$10K
Holders' win rate
65%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$572 on it

  1. 1omnibus-42477939% won of 1,063$202−$537K lifetime
  2. 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$64−$378K lifetime
  3. 3youtube-trader25% won of 8,026$46−$6.5K lifetime
  4. 4Ernie-28783% won of 143$39−$6.1K lifetime
  5. 5ACara66% won of 370 · whale$38+$45K lifetime

No$10K on it

  1. 1onforme63% won of 1,075 · whale$5.8K+$19K lifetime
  2. 2StraddleSeller69% won of 550 · whale$3.3K+$55K lifetime
  3. 3korganamato47% won of 204$243−$1.7K lifetime
  4. 4hksjhl0419100% won of 276 · grinder$233+$99 lifetime
  5. 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$126+$335K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?"?

120 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 120 of them. The largest Yes holder is omnibus-424779, with $202 on it, $537K lifetime loss over 1,063 markets (39% won). The largest No holder is onforme, with $5.8K on it, $19K lifetime profit over 1,075 markets (63% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $61K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 31, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

31% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 64 points. A week ago, No by 66 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on March 31, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.