Who's betting on “Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?”?
Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 41 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $55K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 134 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 56% 85 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 40 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $55K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
The smart money
56% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points.
Who holds it
134 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 125 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-1730831637679, with $575 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 35 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is melonmanm, with $1.9K on it, $56K lifetime profit over 986 markets (58% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $180 on No.
- Holders
- 94
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $8.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 1 · $180
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.9K on it
- 10xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-173083163767946% won of 35 · noise$575+$91K lifetime
- 20xc725…8bf1no record yet$265
- 30xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$197+$334K lifetime
- 4alexbond1948% won of 29$192−$3.6K lifetime
- 50x448679152fB30108DBEf98f162753cb551876F0B-17499129541560% won of 2$176−$566 lifetime
No$8.4K on it
- 1melonmanm58% won of 986 · whale$1.9K+$56K lifetime
- 20x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-176070367496065% won of 391 · whale$1.5K+$123K lifetime
- 3donthackme29% won of 86,370 · noise$1.2K+$828K lifetime
- 40x0DccfaE62418c61D2F9A642e88Df39702D8Bd87c-176493290440382% won of 186 · whale$912+$19K lifetime
- 5balthazar53% won of 52,141 · whale$710+$1.2M lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
134 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 125 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-1730831637679, with $575 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 35 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is melonmanm, with $1.9K on it, $56K lifetime profit over 986 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $55K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
56% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.