Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?”?

Politics$39K traded142 holdersEnds November 30, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
0%Yes
100%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 33 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$39K
traded all time
Held now
$8.1K
by 142 wallets
Smart share · Yes
65%
84 scored holders
Smart share · No
98%
46 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.

The smart money

65% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points.

Who holds it

142 wallets hold a position worth $8.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 130 of them. The largest Yes holder is mrmaimon, with $1 on it, $11 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is BiDiFakePolls, with $2.6K on it, $126K lifetime profit over 346 markets (74% won).

Sharp money

2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $3.1K on No.

Yes0%
Smart money share65% ▲ 11 pts in 24 h
a day ago 53%now 65%
Holders
95
Money on it
$15
Holders' win rate
47%
No100%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share98% ▲ 16 pts in 24 h
a day ago 82%now 98%
Holders
47
Money on it
$8.1K
Holders' win rate
63%
Snipers
2 · $3.1K

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$15 on it

  1. 1mrmaimon100% won of 1$1+$11 lifetime
  2. 2vejesimya21% won of 19$1−$990 lifetime
  3. 30x9cba…3446no record yet$1
  4. 4balthazar53% won of 52,141 · whale$1+$1.2M lifetime
  5. 5god8374389425% won of 20,848 · noise$1+$44K lifetime

No$8.1K on it

  1. 1BiDiFakePolls74% won of 346 · sniper$2.6K+$126K lifetime
  2. 2D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$1000+$85K lifetime
  3. 3melonmanm58% won of 986 · whale$820+$56K lifetime
  4. 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$763+$334K lifetime
  5. 5zetbetter63% won of 257 · balanced$550+$18K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

More markets in Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?

2 more
Who's betting on Israel Election: Otzma # of seats? →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?

142 wallets hold a position worth $8.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 130 of them. The largest Yes holder is mrmaimon, with $1 on it, $11 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is BiDiFakePolls, with $2.6K on it, $126K lifetime profit over 346 markets (74% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

65% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.