Who's betting on “Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?”?
Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 43 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $49K traded all time
- Held now
- $14K by 33 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 54% 16 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $49K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
54% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 60 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
Who holds it
33 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 32 of them. The largest Yes holder is -FROMTHEFUTURE-, with $71 on it, $10K lifetime loss over 345 markets (23% won). The largest No holder is C03B, with $12K on it, $347K lifetime profit over 1,198 markets (85% won).
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $163
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$163 on it
- 1-FROMTHEFUTURE-23% won of 345$71−$10K lifetime
- 2BabyGroot70% won of 888 · whale$44+$59K lifetime
- 3RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$23+$819K lifetime
- 42B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$7+$97K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,235 · noise$5+$255K lifetime
No$14K on it
- 1C03B85% won of 1,198 · whale$12K+$347K lifetime
- 2NotAnIdiot48% won of 1,435 · balanced$1.5K+$1.5K lifetime
- 3AmericaFirst187% won of 1,297 · whale$311+$2.4K lifetime
- 4robert-mukhametov82% won of 1,365$222−$2.3K lifetime
- 5Fabulous-Mukluk-Convert52% won of 7,042$81−$751 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?"?
33 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 32 of them. The largest Yes holder is -FROMTHEFUTURE-, with $71 on it, $10K lifetime loss over 345 markets (23% won). The largest No holder is C03B, with $12K on it, $347K lifetime profit over 1,198 markets (85% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $49K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
54% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 60 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.