Who's betting on “Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?”?
Smart money leans No: 69% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.5K by 35 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 37% 17 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 69% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 35¢ and No at 65¢, a 65% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
37% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points.
Who holds it
35 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Yes holder is DonkDaWarrior, with $282 on it, $6.6K lifetime loss over 48 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is NotAnIdiot, with $791 on it, $1.5K lifetime profit over 1,435 markets (48% won).
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $872
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$872 on it
- 1DonkDaWarrior44% won of 48$282−$6.6K lifetime
- 2C03B85% won of 1,198 · whale$251+$347K lifetime
- 30x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b4C5-177162952493675% won of 532$196−$16K lifetime
- 4conherence75% won of 415 · balanced$36+$3.6K lifetime
- 5pinner38% won of 1,098$34−$9.6K lifetime
No$1.6K on it
- 1NotAnIdiot48% won of 1,435 · balanced$791+$1.5K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$419−$377K lifetime
- 3LotusMessenger83% won of 23$250+$3 lifetime
- 4ScottyNooo48% won of 1,596 · whale$65+$904K lifetime
- 5rightcryptor0% won of 1$52−$0 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?"?
35 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Yes holder is DonkDaWarrior, with $282 on it, $6.6K lifetime loss over 48 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is NotAnIdiot, with $791 on it, $1.5K lifetime profit over 1,435 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 35¢ and No at 65¢, a 65% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
37% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.