Who's betting on “Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 73 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $36K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.2K by 51 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 96% 18 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 22% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 9, 2027.
The smart money
96% of the money on Yes and 22% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 61 points. A week ago, Yes by 61 points.
Who holds it
51 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209, with $2.0K on it, $3.5K lifetime profit over 307 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $14 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $4.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $68
- Holders' win rate
- 40%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.1K on it
- 10x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-177700480220964% won of 307 · balanced$2.0K+$3.5K lifetime
- 2Astraeight64% won of 228 · balanced$1.6K+$14K lifetime
- 30x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,286 · whale$154+$64K lifetime
- 4donthackme29% won of 87,062 · noise$83+$829K lifetime
- 5haouibao98% won of 90$63−$196 lifetime
No$68 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$14+$255K lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$14−$485K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$10−$377K lifetime
- 4gfdgfvfvssdd43% won of 33,485$4−$23K lifetime
- 5predictdogepepewif23% won of 7,402$3−$39K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?
1 moreOther big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?"?
51 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209, with $2.0K on it, $3.5K lifetime profit over 307 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $14 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 9, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
96% of the money on Yes and 22% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 61 points. A week ago, Yes by 61 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 9, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.