Who's betting on “Will November be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 70 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $377 by 43 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 2% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 9, 2027.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 2% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 70 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 65 points. A week ago, Yes by 64 points.
Who holds it
43 wallets hold a position worth $377 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209, with $43 on it, $3.5K lifetime profit over 307 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is tradetosurvive1, with $162 on it, $217K lifetime loss over 25,346 markets (45% won).
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $92
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $285
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$92 on it
- 10x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-177700480220964% won of 307 · balanced$43+$3.5K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$13+$254K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$9−$378K lifetime
- 40x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,315 · whale$6+$64K lifetime
- 5Numitus199449% won of 15,786$4−$28K lifetime
No$285 on it
- 1tradetosurvive145% won of 25,346$162−$217K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,306$80−$51K lifetime
- 3keestar94% won of 257$8−$120 lifetime
- 4Sp0rtBaby47% won of 4,334$5−$12K lifetime
- 5ilovecarrots33% won of 1,162$5−$3.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?
1 moreOther big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will November be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?"?
43 wallets hold a position worth $377 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209, with $43 on it, $3.5K lifetime profit over 307 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is tradetosurvive1, with $162 on it, $217K lifetime loss over 25,346 markets (45% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will November be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 9, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 2% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 70 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 65 points. A week ago, Yes by 64 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 9, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.