Who's betting on “Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 77% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 59 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $425 by 48 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 77% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 18% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 7, 2027.
The smart money
77% of the money on Yes and 18% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 59 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 59 points. A week ago, Yes by 63 points.
Who holds it
48 wallets hold a position worth $425 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is Hot-SkullHomelessBegger, with $76 on it, $16K lifetime profit over 71 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is 0x6c10…df5c, with $140 on it, $70K lifetime loss over 1,065 markets (66% won).
Sharp money
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $48 on Yes.
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $249
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 2 · $48
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $176
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$249 on it
- 1Hot-SkullHomelessBegger75% won of 71 · balanced$76+$16K lifetime
- 2FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$48+$244K lifetime
- 3rocky4201351% won of 983$37−$12K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$22+$255K lifetime
- 5HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$8+$325K lifetime
No$176 on it
- 10x6c10…df5c66% won of 1,065$140−$70K lifetime
- 2e46m347% won of 87,774 · whale$11+$964K lifetime
- 30xfec464f25Ce66AaEb9Bd4Ecb94b7184520bCCFc8-174178318473765% won of 216 · balanced$8+$1.2K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,827 · noise$5+$27K lifetime
- 5donthackme29% won of 86,863 · noise$5+$828K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner
2 more- Antonio Martín del Campo$16K vol.Yes 51%No 49%Smart money: No
- Leonardo Montañez Castro$12K vol.Yes 39%No 61%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?"?
48 wallets hold a position worth $425 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is Hot-SkullHomelessBegger, with $76 on it, $16K lifetime profit over 71 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is 0x6c10…df5c, with $140 on it, $70K lifetime loss over 1,065 markets (66% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 7, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 18% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 59 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 59 points. A week ago, Yes by 63 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on June 7, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.