Who's betting on “Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?”?
Smart money leans No: 40% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.0K by 35 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 24% 18 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 40% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 39¢ and No at 61¢, a 61% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 7, 2027.
The smart money
24% of the money on Yes and 40% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
Who holds it
35 wallets hold a position worth $1.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 35 of them. The largest Yes holder is Alejandro25, with $575 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $88 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 53,882 markets (50% won).
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $836
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $214
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$836 on it
- 1Alejandro25no record yet$575+$0 lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,228 · noise$134+$254K lifetime
- 3Hot-SkullHomelessBegger75% won of 71 · balanced$31+$16K lifetime
- 40x8ed5…62c30% won of 3$23−$14 lifetime
- 5mustbethewater45% won of 27,079 · whale$20+$73K lifetime
No$214 on it
- 1Haradwaith50% won of 53,882$88−$377K lifetime
- 2wallet-account-test68% won of 214 · balanced$39+$4.2K lifetime
- 3PPMT70% won of 56,582 · whale$37+$16K lifetime
- 4predictdogepepewif23% won of 7,402$20−$39K lifetime
- 5PMWolf47% won of 671$12−$776 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner
2 more- Antonio Martín del Campo$16K vol.Yes 51%No 49%Smart money: No
- Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez$13K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?"?
35 wallets hold a position worth $1.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 35 of them. The largest Yes holder is Alejandro25, with $575 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $88 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 53,882 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 39¢ and No at 61¢, a 61% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 7, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
24% of the money on Yes and 40% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on June 7, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.