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Who's betting on “Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?”?

Politics$41K traded67 holdersEnds March 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
46%Yes🧠 smart money
54%No

Smart money leans Yes: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 26 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$41K
traded all time
Held now
$2.5K
by 67 wallets
Smart share · Yes
95%
31 scored holders
Smart share · No
68%
36 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 46¢ and No at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.

The smart money

95% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.

Who holds it

67 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is HolyMoses7, with $719 on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is DorTovim, with $481 on it, $5.6K lifetime profit over 243 markets (68% won).

Yes46%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share95% ▼ 2 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 88%a day ago 97%now 95%
Holders
31
Money on it
$1.4K
Holders' win rate
53%
No54%
Smart money share68% ▲ 3 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 72%a day ago 66%now 68%
Holders
36
Money on it
$1.1K
Holders' win rate
54%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.4K on it

  1. 1HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$719+$179K lifetime
  2. 2rocky4201752% won of 611 · whale$138+$13K lifetime
  3. 3Askeladd.65% won of 223 · balanced$85+$3.8K lifetime
  4. 40xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$67+$91K lifetime
  5. 5cambridgeisaac57% won of 1,129 · whale$66+$66K lifetime

No$1.1K on it

  1. 1DorTovim68% won of 243 · balanced$481+$5.6K lifetime
  2. 2adenakoz130% won of 233 · noise$143+$11K lifetime
  3. 30x96BFC07480D572c3AedB2B1f5CB08A98f297403E-178222351103746% won of 2,995$73−$1.5K lifetime
  4. 4fd43gsfg67% won of 43$65−$119 lifetime
  5. 5predictdogepepewif23% won of 7,552$54−$39K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?"?

67 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is HolyMoses7, with $719 on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is DorTovim, with $481 on it, $5.6K lifetime profit over 243 markets (68% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 46¢ and No at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

95% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.