
Who's betting on “Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 26 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $41K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.5K by 67 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 95% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 68% 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 46¢ and No at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
The smart money
95% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
Who holds it
67 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is HolyMoses7, with $719 on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is DorTovim, with $481 on it, $5.6K lifetime profit over 243 markets (68% won).
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.4K on it
- 1HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$719+$179K lifetime
- 2rocky4201752% won of 611 · whale$138+$13K lifetime
- 3Askeladd.65% won of 223 · balanced$85+$3.8K lifetime
- 40xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$67+$91K lifetime
- 5cambridgeisaac57% won of 1,129 · whale$66+$66K lifetime
No$1.1K on it
- 1DorTovim68% won of 243 · balanced$481+$5.6K lifetime
- 2adenakoz130% won of 233 · noise$143+$11K lifetime
- 30x96BFC07480D572c3AedB2B1f5CB08A98f297403E-178222351103746% won of 2,995$73−$1.5K lifetime
- 4fd43gsfg67% won of 43$65−$119 lifetime
- 5predictdogepepewif23% won of 7,552$54−$39K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?"?
67 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is HolyMoses7, with $719 on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is DorTovim, with $481 on it, $5.6K lifetime profit over 243 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 46¢ and No at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
95% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.