Who's betting on “Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 34 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $690 by 27 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 66% 19 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 8 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
The smart money
66% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 50 points.
Who holds it
27 wallets hold a position worth $690 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 27 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $7 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,511 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is chocolatepudding, with $488 on it, $18K lifetime profit over 510 markets (76% won).
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $17
- Holders' win rate
- 42%
- Holders
- 8
- Money on it
- $673
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$17 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$7+$254K lifetime
- 2youtube-trader25% won of 8,026$2−$6.5K lifetime
- 3843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.98% won of 1,036 · grinder$1+$2.2K lifetime
- 4sanduspace82% won of 1,100 · whale$1+$1.2K lifetime
- 5thor6660% won of 934$1−$6.3K lifetime
No$673 on it
- 1chocolatepudding76% won of 510 · balanced$488+$18K lifetime
- 2mariacryptoss57% won of 51 · balanced$98+$352 lifetime
- 3HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$71+$179K lifetime
- 44-testfollower-hm751% won of 427 · balanced$15+$123 lifetime
- 5Sp0rtBaby47% won of 4,334$1−$12K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?"?
27 wallets hold a position worth $690 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 27 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $7 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,511 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is chocolatepudding, with $488 on it, $18K lifetime profit over 510 markets (76% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 50 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.