Who's betting on “Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 33 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $39K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.1K by 64 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 98% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 66% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 89¢ and No at 12¢, an 89% implied chance of Yes. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 18, 2027.
The smart money
98% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
Who holds it
64 wallets hold a position worth $9.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is DFK, with $3.1K on it, $42K lifetime profit over 771 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is 0x27dbf890275FD34D6864E1f4972E590516603F67-1780157732727, with $194 on it, $798 lifetime profit over 156 markets (73% won).
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $8.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $548
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$8.5K on it
No$548 on it
- 10x27dbf890275FD34D6864E1f4972E590516603F67-178015773272773% won of 156$194+$798 lifetime
- 2sweetj64% won of 487 · whale$81+$11K lifetime
- 3SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$41−$9.0K lifetime
- 4jeremyvandort53% won of 51$39−$286 lifetime
- 5PascalPro64% won of 85 · balanced$33+$2.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in French Presidential Election First Round Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?"?
64 wallets hold a position worth $9.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is DFK, with $3.1K on it, $42K lifetime profit over 771 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is 0x27dbf890275FD34D6864E1f4972E590516603F67-1780157732727, with $194 on it, $798 lifetime profit over 156 markets (73% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 89¢ and No at 12¢, an 89% implied chance of Yes. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 18, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
98% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 18, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.