Who's betting on “Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $890 by 33 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 25 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 77% 8 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 18, 2027.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago, No by 58 points.
Who holds it
33 wallets hold a position worth $890 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 33 of them. The largest Yes holder is DBreakingBank, with $150 on it, $123 lifetime profit over 3 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is sweetj, with $330 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 487 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $304
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 8
- Money on it
- $586
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$304 on it
- 1DBreakingBank100% won of 3$150+$123 lifetime
- 2Lordofebola69% won of 346$34−$955 lifetime
- 32B9S27% won of 14,516 · noise$32+$97K lifetime
- 4Nisabetno record yet$29+$0 lifetime
- 5VladimirK198874% won of 53 · balanced$22+$304 lifetime
No$586 on it
- 1sweetj64% won of 487 · whale$330+$11K lifetime
- 20x1Df1471549643e631BbB3F32Ad8EcdCb8A631751-176874072297570% won of 10$95−$25 lifetime
- 312398745644% won of 2,437 · whale$94+$50K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,627$38−$52K lifetime
- 5donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$25+$829K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?"?
33 wallets hold a position worth $890 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 33 of them. The largest Yes holder is DBreakingBank, with $150 on it, $123 lifetime profit over 3 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is sweetj, with $330 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 487 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 18, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago, No by 58 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 18, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.