Who's betting on “Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 26% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.8K by 65 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 26% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 9% 29 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 38¢ and No at 62¢, a 62% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
26% of the money on Yes and 9% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
Who holds it
65 wallets hold a position worth $5.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $1.8K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $2.6K on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,614 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $3.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.7K on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$1.8K−$4.7M lifetime
- 2reid9970% won of 274 · balanced$150+$1.8K lifetime
- 3JAMJAMJAM497% won of 835 · whale$147+$96K lifetime
- 4DuneMentat74% won of 841$87−$12K lifetime
- 5sweetj64% won of 487 · whale$70+$11K lifetime
No$3.1K on it
- 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$2.6K−$8.2K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$163+$255K lifetime
- 3shinramyvn69% won of 248$66−$325 lifetime
- 4leviyuan-smart47% won of 219$59−$65 lifetime
- 5kittycat6771% won of 303 · balanced$33+$1.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?"?
65 wallets hold a position worth $5.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $1.8K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $2.6K on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,614 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 38¢ and No at 62¢, a 62% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
26% of the money on Yes and 9% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.