Who's betting on “Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 77% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 75 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.4K by 70 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 77% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 2% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 61¢ and No at 39¢, a 61% implied chance of Yes. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
77% of the money on Yes and 2% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 75 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 77 points. A week ago, Yes by 76 points.
Who holds it
70 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is twinna, with $1.5K on it, $69K lifetime profit over 212 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is 74-75, with $468 on it, $2.5K lifetime loss over 94 markets (41% won).
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $3.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.2K on it
- 1twinna52% won of 212 · whale$1.5K+$69K lifetime
- 2macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$471−$8.2K lifetime
- 3kittycat6771% won of 303 · balanced$210+$1.5K lifetime
- 4jsand22983% won of 6$192+$112 lifetime
- 5bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$122+$5.1K lifetime
No$1.2K on it
- 174-7541% won of 94$468−$2.5K lifetime
- 2Nicksypoo94% won of 225$451−$17K lifetime
- 3Trenchstar49% won of 88$103−$1.9K lifetime
- 4anoin12359% won of 1,608$71−$4.7M lifetime
- 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,346$30−$217K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?"?
70 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is twinna, with $1.5K on it, $69K lifetime profit over 212 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is 74-75, with $468 on it, $2.5K lifetime loss over 94 markets (41% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 61¢ and No at 39¢, a 61% implied chance of Yes. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 2% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 75 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 77 points. A week ago, Yes by 76 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.