Who's betting on “Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.7K by 47 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 32 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 84% 15 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 65¢ and No at 35¢, a 65% implied chance of Yes. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 7, 2027.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 29 points.
Who holds it
47 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is ElGringoTlax, with $293 on it, $557 lifetime profit over 6 markets (83% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $266 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $242 on Yes.
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 1 · $242
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $354
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.3K on it
- 1ElGringoTlax83% won of 6$293+$557 lifetime
- 2chocolatepudding76% won of 510 · balanced$259+$18K lifetime
- 3FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$242+$244K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$101+$255K lifetime
- 50x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$98−$8.4K lifetime
No$354 on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$266+$203K lifetime
- 2Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,956 · whale$23+$163K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$20−$377K lifetime
- 40x7943…29b41% won of 701$17−$2.7K lifetime
- 5JsonStatham45% won of 34,820$17−$32K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?"?
47 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is ElGringoTlax, with $293 on it, $557 lifetime profit over 6 markets (83% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $266 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 65¢ and No at 35¢, a 65% implied chance of Yes. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 7, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 29 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on June 7, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.