Who's betting on “Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 45 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.7K by 39 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 50% 24 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 15 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 7, 2027.
The smart money
50% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 42 points. A week ago, No by 45 points.
Who holds it
39 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is ElGringoTlax, with $66 on it, $557 lifetime profit over 6 markets (83% won). The largest No holder is FrozenParasite, with $1.1K on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.1K on No.
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $293
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1.1K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$293 on it
- 1ElGringoTlax83% won of 6$66+$557 lifetime
- 2LornaPredicts28% won of 15,970 · noise$60+$28K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 54,248$52−$378K lifetime
- 4Bodytobody14% won of 464$50−$192K lifetime
- 5predictdogepepewif23% won of 7,552$12−$39K lifetime
No$1.4K on it
- 1FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$1.1K+$244K lifetime
- 2archaic86% won of 1,473 · whale$115+$197K lifetime
- 3Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$36+$560 lifetime
- 40x86b6…a12777% won of 1,813$19−$1.6K lifetime
- 5lissartter56% won of 2,997$18−$287K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?"?
39 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is ElGringoTlax, with $66 on it, $557 lifetime profit over 6 markets (83% won). The largest No holder is FrozenParasite, with $1.1K on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 7, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
50% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 42 points. A week ago, No by 45 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on June 7, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.