Who's betting on “Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 77 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.5K by 54 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 15% 18 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 15% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 77 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 77 points. A week ago, Yes by 76 points.
Who holds it
54 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is 123905, with $749 on it, $6.9K lifetime profit over 5 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is 74-75, with $1.2K on it, $2.5K lifetime loss over 94 markets (41% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $126 on Yes.
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
- Snipers
- 1 · $126
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $2.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.3K on it
- 1123905100% won of 5$749+$6.9K lifetime
- 2BiDiFakePolls74% won of 348 · sniper$126+$127K lifetime
- 3oliman264% won of 1,228 · whale$89+$106K lifetime
- 4ABC1234565432148% won of 6,025$44−$1.3K lifetime
- 5strawberrypig69% won of 160 · balanced$43+$2.3K lifetime
No$2.2K on it
- 174-7541% won of 94$1.2K−$2.5K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,310$441−$51K lifetime
- 3oneoftheppl58% won of 855 · whale$223+$13K lifetime
- 4Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$133−$59K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,322 · noise$73+$254K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?"?
54 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is 123905, with $749 on it, $6.9K lifetime profit over 5 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is 74-75, with $1.2K on it, $2.5K lifetime loss over 94 markets (41% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 15% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 77 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 77 points. A week ago, Yes by 76 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.