Who's betting on “Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 42 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.0K by 54 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 28% 22 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 70% 32 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 79¢ and No at 21¢, a 79% implied chance of Yes. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
28% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 44 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.
Who holds it
54 wallets hold a position worth $5.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8, with $2.4K on it, $124K lifetime loss over 93 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is Leclerc04, with $200 on it, $3.7K lifetime profit over 1,217 markets (50% won).
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $4.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $513
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.5K on it
- 10xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac872% won of 93$2.4K−$124K lifetime
- 2Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$636−$59K lifetime
- 3yoyoyo54360% won of 55 · balanced$436+$5.2K lifetime
- 4sweetj64% won of 487 · whale$406+$11K lifetime
- 5kittycat6771% won of 303 · balanced$157+$1.5K lifetime
No$513 on it
- 1Leclerc0450% won of 1,217 · balanced$200+$3.7K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,325$81−$53K lifetime
- 3donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$80+$829K lifetime
- 4bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$24+$5.1K lifetime
- 5cryptoqan0n74% won of 5,783$19−$7.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?"?
54 wallets hold a position worth $5.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8, with $2.4K on it, $124K lifetime loss over 93 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is Leclerc04, with $200 on it, $3.7K lifetime profit over 1,217 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 79¢ and No at 21¢, a 79% implied chance of Yes. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
28% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 44 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.