Who's betting on “Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?”?
Smart money leans No: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $284K traded all time
- Held now
- $91K by 469 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 54% 310 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 91% 158 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 47¢ and No at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of No. $284K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2027.
The smart money
54% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
469 wallets hold a position worth $91K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 468 of them. The largest Yes holder is berryinvesting, with $8.0K on it, $27K lifetime profit over 524 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is Plata-O-Mierda, with $22K on it, $324 lifetime profit over 8 markets (75% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $465 on Yes.
- Holders
- 311
- Money on it
- $55K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Snipers
- 1 · $465
- Holders
- 158
- Money on it
- $35K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$55K on it
- 1berryinvesting32% won of 524 · noise$8.0K+$27K lifetime
- 2TheReturnOfDarthMaul60% won of 1,026 · whale$6.0K+$1.8M lifetime
- 3Mr.Atlas166% won of 50$4.9K−$145 lifetime
- 4maritime630740% won of 377 · noise$3.2K+$2.6K lifetime
- 5user09842260% won of 5$3.1K−$54K lifetime
No$35K on it
- 1Plata-O-Mierda75% won of 8$22K+$324 lifetime
- 2bifurcatio77% won of 117 · balanced$9.1K+$3.5K lifetime
- 30x1E1497A547c95DaB99F82434AbfB25cFe886C804-176271352594488% won of 24$1.1K−$1.1K lifetime
- 4Godfreyholyno record yet$612−$1.5K lifetime
- 5lissartter56% won of 2,997$389−$287K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Argentina Presidential Election Winner
18 more- Axel Kicillof$147K vol.Yes 28%No 72%Smart money: Yes
- Sergio Massa$109K vol.Yes 15%No 85%Smart money: No
- Myriam Bregman$66K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Mauricio Macri$57K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Dante Gebel$55K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Juan Schiaretti$50K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Juan Grabois$49K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Victoria Villarruel$46K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Esteban Bullrich$45K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Facundo Manes$42K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Patricia Bullrich$38K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Daniel Hadad$35K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Cristina Fernández de Kirchner$27K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- Guillermo Moreno$26K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Lionel Messi$26K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Máximo Kirchner$19K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro$16K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Karina Milei$11K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?"?
469 wallets hold a position worth $91K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 468 of them. The largest Yes holder is berryinvesting, with $8.0K on it, $27K lifetime profit over 524 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is Plata-O-Mierda, with $22K on it, $324 lifetime profit over 8 markets (75% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 47¢ and No at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of No. $284K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
54% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.