Who's betting on “Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $147K traded all time
- Held now
- $36K by 243 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 95% 105 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 84% 138 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $147K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2027.
The smart money
95% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.
Who holds it
243 wallets hold a position worth $36K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 243 of them. The largest Yes holder is Plata-O-Mierda, with $19K on it, $324 lifetime profit over 8 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is RealBobby, with $6.1K on it, $47K lifetime profit over 2 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 105
- Money on it
- $21K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
- Holders
- 138
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$21K on it
- 1Plata-O-Mierda75% won of 8$19K+$324 lifetime
- 2newbie7775% won of 389 · balanced$558+$5.4K lifetime
- 330c948% won of 225$256−$2.8K lifetime
- 40x44243A44b19c5270b7d75dC2e76D5C2652aa4Cc6-176031513964572% won of 86$186−$13K lifetime
- 5donthackme29% won of 86,863 · noise$136+$828K lifetime
No$15K on it
- 1RealBobby100% won of 2$6.1K+$47K lifetime
- 2Andypro47% won of 200 · balanced$1.4K+$4.1K lifetime
- 3berryinvesting32% won of 524 · noise$1.2K+$27K lifetime
- 40xa87A6C4444852BC2384BB74af67FDd0fbA0f5403-176451512843668% won of 34 · balanced$739+$311 lifetime
- 5quebupo50% won of 2$657+$793 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Argentina Presidential Election Winner
18 more- Javier Milei$284K vol.Yes 47%No 54%Smart money: No
- Sergio Massa$109K vol.Yes 15%No 85%Smart money: No
- Myriam Bregman$66K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Mauricio Macri$57K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Dante Gebel$55K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Juan Schiaretti$50K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Juan Grabois$49K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Victoria Villarruel$46K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Esteban Bullrich$45K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Facundo Manes$42K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Patricia Bullrich$38K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Daniel Hadad$35K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Cristina Fernández de Kirchner$27K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- Guillermo Moreno$26K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Lionel Messi$26K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Máximo Kirchner$19K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro$16K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Karina Milei$11K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?"?
243 wallets hold a position worth $36K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 243 of them. The largest Yes holder is Plata-O-Mierda, with $19K on it, $324 lifetime profit over 8 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is RealBobby, with $6.1K on it, $47K lifetime profit over 2 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $147K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
95% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.